TOP PICK
Cagliari
PROJECTED: 1-0
58%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
58%
Cagliari
26%
Draw
16%
Arezzo
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
46%
31%
23%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
68%
16%
16%
DL
25% WEIGHT
58%
26%
16%
FINAL BLEND
58%
26%
16%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.17 vs 0.73
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
46%
BTTS NO
54%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
CAGLIARI FACTORS
+30%
Early in first half with no clear pressure yet; Cagliari slight home favourite but wide-open match.
+20%
Cagliari home form WLWWL (mixed) vs bookmaker 61.7% home-win implied — slight disagreement suggests booking contains some away value
AREZZO FACTORS
+15%
Arezzo on-road form unknown; recent form limited to single win — insufficient sample
CONTEXT
·
Only 2 minutes elapsed — scoreline and momentum data extremely limited
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
91%
Alessandro Deiola
HOM · D · 1g/1
2
9%
Eklu Shaka Mawuli
AWY · M · 0g/2
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
Cagliari
1
Draw
0
Arezzo
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.