GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Benfica
Thu, 30 Jul · 19:00
Europa League
FC ST. Gallen
TOP PICK
Benfica
PROJECTED: 1-0
52%
CONF 35
WIN PROBABILITY
52%
Benfica
32%
Draw
16%
FC ST. Gal...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
45% 31% 24%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
61% 23% 16%
DL 25% WEIGHT
52% 32% 16%
FINAL BLEND
52% 32% 16%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.14 vs 0.76
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
38%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
28%
BTTS NO
72%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 32% 8.57 +174.2%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 16% 16.64 +166.2%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 5.45 +161.4%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 84% 1.02 -14.2%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 68% 1.07 -27.6%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.12 -41.6%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 1.97 -44.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 1.30 -50.4%
BENFICA FACTORS
+30% Early in match (2'); Benfica slight home favourite but very limited data — treat as weak signal only.
+20% Benfica home form (DWWWD) is mixed; St. Gallen away record absent — insufficient split data
CONTEXT
· Match just started (2'), scoreline 0-0 — live state dominates; high variance ahead
· H2H shows St. Gallen won 2-1 last week — recent upset signal, but one-match sample
⚽ NEXT GOALSCORER
1
Vangelis Pavlidis
HOM · F · 23g/33
87%
2
Andreas Schjelderup
HOM · M · 7g/26
13%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
Benfica
1
Draw
1
FC ST. Gal...
23 Jul 2-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
← Back to match