GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Benevento
Sun, 26 Apr · 16:00
Serie C - Girone C
Audace Cerignola
TOP PICK
Benevento
PROJECTED: 2-0
58%
CONF 52
WIN PROBABILITY
58%
Benevento
28%
Draw
14%
Audace Cer...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
71% 18% 11%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
68% 19% 14%
DL 25% WEIGHT
58% 28% 14%
FINAL BLEND
58% 28% 14%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 0
xG 2.18 vs 0.72
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 2-0
0.0%
2 1-0
0.0%
3 3-0
0.0%
4 2-1
0.0%
5 1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
62%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
22%
BTTS NO
78%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 4.07 +13.9%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 42% 2.49 +4.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.64 +1.4%
HOME or Draw (1X)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 86% 1.08 -7.0%
HOME or AWAY (12)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.17 -16.1%
HOME to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.44 -16.5%
AWAY to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 14% 5.93 -17.0%
Both Teams Score — YES
7 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 22% 1.75 -61.5%
CONTEXT
· Benevento scored at 26'; early lead favours home side but Cerignola's defensive record (DD away) keeps upset odds alive.
· Benevento 1-0 up at minute 26 (80+ mins remaining) — strong positional advantage
· H2H heavily Benevento (4-0 and 4-2 wins in last 2 matches) — dominant recent record
· Both teams recent form mixed (Benevento WWDDD, Cerignola LLDDD) — neither in hot streak
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Benevento
3
Draw
0
Audace Cer...
19 Dec 0-4
13 Apr 2-4
30 Nov 1-1
15 Feb 1-1
08 Oct 0-0
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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