⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Draw
PROJECTED: 2-2
42%
CONF 58
WIN PROBABILITY
18%
Avispa Fuk...
42%
Draw
40%
Sanfrecce...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
36%
21%
43%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
19%
34%
46%
DL
25% WEIGHT
18%
42%
40%
FINAL BLEND
18%
42%
40%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 2
xG 1.91 vs 2.09
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-2
0.0%
2
1-1
0.0%
3
2-2
0.0%
4
2-1
0.0%
5
1-3
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
78%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
94%
BTTS NO
6%
💎 VALUE BETS
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
CONTEXT
·
90' deadlock with Avispa down to 10 men (red 80'); likely extra time or draw. Hiroshima slight edge.
·
Avispa playing with 10 men since 80' red card — dramatically reduced draw/win chance
·
2–2 at 90' in final moments; extra time or penalty shootout most likely (match may not be settled by regulation)
·
Hiroshima superior form (WWLWW) and league position (4th vs 9th) + away record (WWWDD) supports slight favouritism if it goes on
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
20%
Mutsuki Kato
AWY · F · 0g/1
2
20%
Yotaro Nakajima
AWY · F · 0g/1
3
20%
Kosuke Kinoshita
AWY · F · 0g/1
4
20%
Masato Shigemi
HOM · F · 0g/1
5
20%
Shintaro Nago
HOM · F · 0g/1
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
2
Avispa Fuk...
2
Draw
6
Sanfrecce...
05 Apr
0-1
27 Sep
1-2
03 May
2-1
14 Jul
1-0
13 Apr
1-1
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.