GOALSENSE
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
6 SHOTS 12
4 ON TARGET 4
54 POSSESSION % 46
3 CORNERS 4
8 FOULS 12
1.57 XG 0.74
554 PASSES 460
⚡ KEY EVENTS
23' Aitor Paredes Normal Goal
49' Antoine Griezmann Normal Goal
54' A. Sørloth Normal Goal
58' 🔄 Pablo Barrios Substitution
63' 🔄 Marcos Llorente Substitution
63' 🔄 Antoine Griezmann Substitution
63' 🔄 Yuri Substitution
63' 🔄 Unai Gómez Substitution
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
A. Sørloth
9.3
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
Atletico Madrid
9.3 A. Sørloth
7.3 Koke
7.3 Álex Baena
Athletic Club
Aitor Paredes 7.3
Ruíz de Galarreta 7.0
Gorka Guruzeta 7.0
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
3 Villarreal 33 65
4 Atletico Madrid 33 60
5 Real Betis 33 50
9 Osasuna 33 42
10 Athletic Club 33 41
11 Rayo Vallecano 33 39
23'
Aitor Paredes
Normal Goal
49'
Antoine Griezmann
Normal Goal
54'
A. Sørloth
Normal Goal
58' 🔄
Pablo Barrios
Substitution 1
63' 🔄
Marcos Llorente
Substitution 2
63' 🔄
Antoine Griezmann
Substitution 3
63' 🔄
Yuri
Substitution 1
63' 🔄
Unai Gómez
Substitution 2
70' 🔄
Nico Williams
Substitution 3
70' 🔄
Ruíz de Galarreta
Substitution 4
70' 🔄
I. Williams
Substitution 5
72' 🔄
Koke
Substitution 4
72' 🔄
G. Simeone
Substitution 5
90'+3
A. Sørloth
Normal Goal
90'+7
Gorka Guruzeta
Normal Goal
6 SHOTS 12
4 ON TARGET 4
54 POSSESSION % 46
1.57 XG 0.74
3 CORNERS 4
8 FOULS 12
0 YELLOW CARDS 0
6 TOTAL SHOTS 12
4 ON TARGET 4
2 OFF TARGET 6
0 BLOCKED 2
6 INSIDE BOX 8
0 OUTSIDE BOX 4
1.57 XG 0.74
554 TOTAL PASSES 460
472 ACCURATE 379
85 ACCURACY % 82
54 POSSESSION % 46
3 CORNERS 4
2 OFFSIDES 1
2 GK SAVES 1
8 FOULS 12
0 YELLOW CARDS 0
0 RED CARDS 0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
Atletico M... 6 sh
A. Sørloth 3/5
Antoine Gr... 1/1
Athletic C... 6 sh
Gorka Guru... 2/4
Aitor Pare... 1/1
Mikel Vesg... 0/1
📈 xG RACE 1.570.74
1.6 0 0' 90'
Atletico Mad... Athletic Clu...
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 10 Recent meetings
5
Atletico Mad...
0
D Draws
5
Athletic Clu...
⚡ AI TOP PICK
Atletico Madrid
PROJECTED: 3-2
92%
CONF 88
WIN PROBABILITY
92%
Atletico M...
6%
Draw
2%
Athletic C...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
MODEL Atleti... D Athlet...
POISSON 70% 14% 16%
ELO 98% 1% 1%
DL 92% 6% 2%
FINAL 92% 6% 2%
PREDICTED SCORE
3 - 2
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
95%
OVER 3.5
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
98%
YES
2%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
Atletico lead 3–2 at 90'; match enters injury time with almost no realistic comeback window for Athletic.
One-goal lead in final minute of regulation — comeback probability <3%
Both teams already scored (BTTS confirmed); low chance of swing in 4–5 min of stoppage
Atletico home record LLWWW shows recent stabilization; Athletic away form LLDWL weak
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
OVER
1.26
UNDER
3.70
10 bk
2.5
OVER
1.82
UNDER
1.99
11 bk
3.5
OVER
3.03
UNDER
1.36
10 bk
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.67
10 bk
NO
2.12
10 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.00 7bk
Away -0.5 1.79 7bk
Away -0.75 1.55 7bk
Away -1 1.35 6bk
Away -1.25 1.28 6bk
Away -1.5 1.22 7bk
🏟 STADIUM
Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Madrid
REFEREE
Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Jesus Gil Manz...
ATL... MGR
Diego Simeone
head coach
ATH... MGR
Ernesto Valver...
head coach
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
Atletico M... · 17 OUT
T. Almada · Muscle Injur...
J. Álvarez · Knee Injury
Álex Baena · Hamstring In...
J. Cardoso · Muscle Injur...
+ 13 more
Athletic C... · 3 OUT
Yeray · Doping
Unai Eguíluz · Knee Injury
Aymeric Lapo... · Muscle Injur...
KICK-OFFSat, 25 Apr · 19:00
RoundRegular Season - 32
Season2025
🏟
Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Madrid