⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Arouca
PROJECTED: 1-0
48%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Arouca
28%
Draw
24%
Santa Clar...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
42%
31%
27%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
55%
19%
26%
DL
25% WEIGHT
48%
28%
24%
FINAL BLEND
48%
28%
24%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.10 vs 0.80
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
42%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
38%
BTTS NO
62%
AROUCA FACTORS
+20%
Season GF favours Arouca (39 vs 28) but GA alarm (60 vs 38) — weak defence undermines home edge
CONTEXT
·
Arouca slight home favourite but thin data; Santa Clara's road weakness (DLWDD) is the key lever.
·
Arouca home form (WWLWW) vs Santa Clara away form (DLWDD) — home split notably stronger
·
Both teams mid-table inconsistent; no xG/clean sheet data available, reducing confidence
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
53%
Alfonso Trezza
HOM · 8g/29
2
48%
Ivan Barbero
HOM · 7g/28
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.