TOP PICK
Draw
PROJECTED: 1-1
48%
CONF 45
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
Arnedo
48%
Draw
14%
Villegas
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
40%
31%
30%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
44%
41%
15%
DL
25% WEIGHT
38%
48%
14%
FINAL BLEND
38%
48%
14%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.10 vs 0.90
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
28%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
75%
BTTS NO
25%
CONTEXT
·
Tied at 72' with 18 minutes left; draw is most likely outcome given low-chance pattern.
·
Scoreline tied at minute 72 — draw probability peaks late in match
·
No significant xG or momentum events recorded — defensive stability
·
Tercera División context: lower-league matches often settle as draws
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
6
Arnedo
0
Draw
0
Villegas
20 Dec
0-2
14 Mar
0-2
13 Dec
5-0
01 Feb
2-5
15 Sep
7-1
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.