⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Draw
PROJECTED: 1-0
48%
CONF 52
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
Arda Kardz...
48%
Draw
14%
Botev Plov...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
42%
31%
27%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
44%
41%
15%
DL
25% WEIGHT
38%
48%
14%
FINAL BLEND
38%
48%
14%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.10 vs 0.80
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
32%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
28%
BTTS NO
72%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
CONTEXT
·
Early stalemate with Botev picking up cards; slight home edge but draw most likely given 0-0 at 19'.
·
0-0 at 19' — draw is baseline; 71 minutes remain for late goals
·
Arda home form mixed (DWWL) but H2H shows Arda dominance (5-0 win, 1 clean sheet)
·
Botev on road weak (DLLW) and two early yellows suggest defensive discipline issues
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
27%
Pedro Igor
AWY · F · 0g/1
2
27%
Patrick
HOM · F · 0g/1
3
15%
Lucas Araujo
AWY · M · 0g/1
4
15%
Carlos Algarra López
AWY · M · 0g/1
5
15%
Samuel Kalu
AWY · M · 0g/1
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
6
Arda Kardz...
2
Draw
2
Botev Plov...
02 Dec
0-0
04 Aug
0-5
09 Mar
1-1
23 Sep
1-0
27 May
0-1
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.