⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Almere City FC
PROJECTED: 2-1
78%
CONF 76
WIN PROBABILITY
78%
Almere Cit...
15%
Draw
7%
De Graafsc...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
73%
17%
10%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
92%
4%
4%
DL
25% WEIGHT
78%
15%
7%
FINAL BLEND
78%
15%
7%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.28 vs 0.72
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
3-0
0.0%
4
2-1
0.0%
5
1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
72%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
88%
BTTS NO
12%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
6 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
6 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
6 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
6 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
6 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
DE GRAAFSCHAP FACTORS
+30%
Almere leading 2-1 with 21 minutes left; strong xG control and substitution disadvantage for De Graafschap make home win highly likely.
+20%
De Graafschap made 3 substitutions early (27', 46'×2), suggesting squad churn or adjustments; momentum may be Almere's
CONTEXT
·
1-goal lead at 69' with sufficient time cushion (21 min) — favours leader but not guaranteed
·
BTTS already confirmed (2-1); over 2.5 near-certain given recent goal rhythm
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Almere Cit...
3
Draw
4
De Graafsc...
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.