TOP PICK
Alaves
PROJECTED: 1-1
38%
CONF 38
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
Alaves
32%
Draw
30%
Getafe
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
36%
31%
33%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
43%
23%
34%
DL
25% WEIGHT
38%
32%
30%
FINAL BLEND
38%
32%
30%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.03 vs 0.97
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
42%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
48%
BTTS NO
52%
💎 VALUE BETS
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
GETAFE FACTORS
+30%
Match just started (1'); H2H strongly favours Getafe; form split favours away — treat as coin-flip with slight lean to visitor.
CONTEXT
·
H2H last 5: Getafe 2W-1D-2L vs Alaves, including 2-0 and 1-0 away wins
·
Alaves home form mediocre (LWLWD), Getafe away form mixed (LDWLW)
·
1' kickoff — all pre-match form/H2H apply equally; no momentum yet
⚽ NEXT GOALSCORER
1
77%
Toni Martínez
HOM · F · 14g/37
2
23%
Lucas Boyé
HOM · 11g/29
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
Alaves
5
Draw
4
Getafe
08 Feb
0-2
24 Sep
1-1
09 Feb
0-1
28 Sep
2-0
18 May
1-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.